Projects using Geospatial modelling
Examples of current work, not a complete list. Every project is titled by what it measures and where. Every project states its status, so a provisional result is never read as a finding.
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ProgrammeIndustrial transitionsLand and ecosystem transitionsMeasuring transitionsSystemic transitions
MethodBiophysical modellingAgent-based and complex-systems modellingMacroeconomic modelling (stock-flow consistent, input-output)Environmental accounting and LCATechnology and sector foresightGeospatial modellingIntegrated modelling and model couplingIndustrial ecologyUncertainty analysisModel reproduction and verification
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- Separating real from apparent innovation: 24 low-carbon cement and concrete technologies assessedIndustrial · Completed · Peer reviewedAn assessment of 24 low-carbon cement and concrete technologies in five families. It separates levers that cut emissions quickly and at scale from those with hidden externalities, and turns the result into a purchasing strategy.
- Industrial ecology for construction: natural materials and sector roadmapsIndustrial · CompletedThe lab's first body of work, 2022 to 2025. Roadmaps that move construction from carbon-intensive synthetic products toward industrial-ecology pathways, and evidence that brings natural and under-represented materials into public decarbonization roadmaps.
- The full climate cost of food: emissions and the carbon value of land, product by productLand · OngoingThe climate cost of about 270 food products once the land they occupy is valued at the carbon it could hold. A published global model, rebuilt so it can be verified, then extended toward 2050.
- The forest carbon cost of harvest, attributed to wood products across EuropeLand · ProvisionalWhat harvesting a forest costs in forest carbon, compared with leaving it unharvested, and how that cost is attributed to sawnwood, panels, pulp, paper, pellets and energy wood across the EU-27. All results are provisional.
- Land, biomass and ocean: a deliberation tool for European trade-offsLand · OngoingA multi-stakeholder European research project, in which research institutes work with policymakers and other stakeholders, on how Europe should allocate land, biomass and marine resources, and on a tool to weigh the trade-offs.
- The accounting gap: what environmental standards omit, and the risk it carriesMeasuring · ConceptA method to measure the gap between what environmental accounting standards count and what an activity actually does, split into omissions and method uncertainty, and to read that gap as regulatory and stranded-asset risk.
- Why efficient systems become fragile: the conditions under which robust organization emergesSystemic · ProvisionalAn evolutionary, agent-based model with physical constraints. It asks whether competition under fluctuation and scarcity keeps the fastest organizations or the most robust ones, and which institutional rules decide the outcome. Results are provisional.
- The price of slack: costing and financing robustness margins in a small open economySystemic · PlannedAn open model of a national economy to test whether reserve stocks, second suppliers and spare capacity widen the range of shocks it can absorb, what they cost in normal times, and how they could be financed.
Read from left to right: a product, a sector, a land system, an economy, the theory beneath them.
What the status labels mean
- CompletedWork delivered.
- OngoingWork under way. No results are claimed yet.
- Provisional resultsResults exist but have not been reviewed. They are not quoted as findings.
- PlannedDesigned, not started.
- ConceptAt working-paper or proposal stage.
- Peer reviewedReviewed by independent experts before publication.
Peer reviewed is shown separately; a completed project is not always peer reviewed.